Recommended Model Selection
1X
85.5% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
1X cleared the configured threshold with 85.5% calibrated confidence and +11.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 85.4900:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 85.487701160854200:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 75.629241417748300:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 75.6300:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Cotillas CD
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ Algar
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: