Recommended Model Selection
1X
80.4% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
1X cleared the configured threshold with 80.4% calibrated confidence and +6.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 83.554858108182600:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 80.3900:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Compostela
Recent Form:
W
D
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ Ourense CF
Recent Form:
L
D
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: