Recommended Model Selection
1X
86.7% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
1X cleared the configured threshold with 86.7% calibrated confidence and +12.7 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 86.7000:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 86.701839929031900:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Yacoub El Mansour
Recent Form:
L
W
D
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ USM Oujda
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: