Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
60.9% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 60.9% calibrated confidence and +2.9 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
No BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 60.2100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
X2
DoubleChance
Confidence: 86.3300:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 60.8900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Gibraltar
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ Malta
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: